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Beautiful intermediary: Policy of beautiful custom

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发表于 2020-9-10 20:18:09 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
According to Peng Bo the company will report on November 15, although the United States (to Hua Jiazheng) custom duty causes media to report considerably, make a lot of people angst, but custom duty is very actually small to macroscopical influence of China. Even if does not have trade barrier, chinese export growth also can be compared not quite at present a lot of faster. If be opposite,for instance beautiful exit amplitude is 20% , that just also raises 22 billion dollar, and Chinese gross domestic product is as high as 13 trillion dollar. Change character, the nominal GDP that this kind of amplitude is a the 3rd quarter only increases a number 9.7% push achieve a bit higher 9.85% .
The bigger factor that affects Chinese economy (actually) the policy decision that is Beijing, for instance limitative credit grows and restrain (excessive) investment. The social financing gross of stylish grew 31% in October 2017. Decrease after a year 13% . Chinese leader restrains credit to grow energetically is lift carefully, right (China) influence Yuan Chaozhong of economy is beautiful trade war. Grow 10% and if Beijing chooses,be in restriction of new amplitude of social financing gross is not to decrease 13% . That will be meant increase 4.1 trillion yuan to Chinese economy activity (add up to 590 billion dollar about) -- the influence that should compare Washington and Beijing trade controversial issue to cause is much give near 30 times.
The investment of another act limitation that China improves economy also makes grow put delay. 80% what fixed assets investment achieved Chinese GDP 2015, after this drops ceaselessly. Up to grew 5.4% only in September 2018, or 55% what occupy 12 months GDP only.
The index that measures investor, consumer and business confidence falls somewhat of late. Whether do this ascribe to trade war, it is the problem of an opinions differ from each other, and right (classics trade) the ultimate effect of behavior is worse to say -- the foreign trader is right China direct investment is increasing, agree with historical normal. In the meantime, the RMB is reduced to dollar exchange rate, the effect that diluent also custom duty causes.
Those who be worth affirmation is, beijing already made right policy decision, restrain credit of out of control and investment dilate. China nowadays is to face challenge of a few economy, (For this) Beijing rolls out a chain of fund that help city, for private enterprise and small company financing, adopt measure to make economic regain the right path. these problems and short-term trade war of no help of confuse sth with sth else. From will for a long time look, the influence that trade war challenges to Chinese policy and economy is dinky. (The author overcomes Lisituofu Baoerding, chen Jun installs interpret)
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